When one is found, check around for the best, most generous, spread on that game, and bet!
Check for games with very large differences in the public betting percentages. By simply searching online for public betting trends, many websites offer all the information it takes. Recognizing when an opportunity like this presents itself is not as difficult as it may sound, either. And when the other team is also the underdog, that number jumps up to 56%. Many sports bettors do not realize, but when one team garners 80% or more of the bets, the other team wins 53% of the time against the spread. When this happens, a major opportunity opens up for bettors and is a perfect time to fade the public. When a bet or team becomes a popular pick in Vegas, oftentimes the bookkeeper will improve the spread or odds for the other team to help cover themselves. So, how can this strategy be implemented with success, you ask? To put it simply, by recognizing and noticing when trends present an increased opportunity for success. Remember our motto: Everything is good in moderation. Heck, if it did, everyone would do it, and it would no longer even be fading the public. Of course, fading the public all the time, every time, is not going to work. If you, however, truly believe betting against the public opinion 100% of the time with no exceptions is going to net you a huge profit, then you, my friend, probably have no business betting on anything.
Often times, fading the public takes on a negative connotation as being one of the only strategies amateur bettors know how to enact. This is also known as “fading the public.” Fading the public is simply betting against the popular public choice.
If you’re not going to follow the pack, then you’re left with one option: Go against the grain. Just always remember, Vegas sportsbooks made their $248 million profit for a reason. Sometimes, it can even be a reassuring, positive indication. Just because a game has a heavy trend is not always a bad thing. If you win a bet, you don’t care if you’re the only person in the world, or one of a million, who won. If through any research method you encounter what you feel to be a good bet, trends should not matter. So, why ever follow the pack? Well, remember that solid piece of advice from above? Everything is good in moderation. Yeah, that should instill some serious confidence. If we’re following a betting trend, it’s the trend of people who lost a combined $248.7 million to Vegas sports books last year. If you could follow the trends that those small percentage of winners bet on, sure! Or by all means, if you have a friend who just guesses right 55% of the time, follow his lead and bet the house! For the rest of us normal people, Vegas sports books are in business for a reason.
There’s a reason why even some of the best sports bettors in the world win only 53, 54, 55% of the time. Want a sure-fire way to lose money betting on sports? Don’t do any other research and simply bet on the most popular bets, every time. The sportsbooks won $76.8 million on football, $87.4 million on basketball, and $36.8 million on baseball. Much of those winnings were off of the most popular bets in the most popular sports. Las Vegas sportsbooks did win a record $248.7 million in 2017. Not to sound too much like an ESPN 30 for 30 film, but what if I told you that Las Vegas sportsbooks won a record $248.7 million in 2017? Would this knowledge instantly instill confidence in you to follow the public and go bet loads of money on whatever the “popular” bet of the day is? I’d hope not. Remember that.īet online at PointsBet with special offers > There’s nothing that will make you feel like quite as much of a blob as getting up off the couch after knowing you just watched 10 straight hours of football on a beautiful fall day. Football Saturdays and Sundays are the best. I once witnessed someone rushed to the hospital from consuming too much Gatorade in one day. There’s a fantastic piece of advice I received when I was a young, naive, child suffering from eating too much candy in way too short of a time: Everything is good in moderation.